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Category Archives: Market Outlook
We’ve seen this pattern before: Winter hits, and the economy slows; spring comes, and the economy thaws. Despite this weather-induced pattern, the economy continues to progress and the stock market hits new highs. Because of the excruciatingly slow progress of … Continue reading
With spring break, various sporting events, holidays, and the obligatory spring-cleaning chores, April tends to be a month of frenzied activity. This can make us feel crunched for time and perhaps distract us from the marvels of the seasonal change … Continue reading
Greece and its creditors (the institutions formerly known as the troika) came to an agreement, in principle, to continue drip-feeding the Greek government enough money to operate until the end of June. Though there is a risk that the funding … Continue reading
The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a larger-than- expected asset-purchase program when it met on January 25. The knee-jerk response of the markets was to push the euro lower, yields lower, and stocks higher. Other central banks cut rates in … Continue reading
Novembers are usually known for cooling, not warming weather. The thaw we are anticipating is more a thawing of investor sentiment. Although the stock market has marched higher and bond yields have stayed low, investors have been embracing this bull … Continue reading
Everyone has their to-do list. Yet sometimes, success comes from what we don’t do. So here are some items for your don’t-do list: First, don’t put your head in the sand. Even though the din of the news, misinformation, exaggerations, … Continue reading
New highs in the equity markets and continued strength in the Treasury markets have a lot of investors thinking it’s time to go on the defensive. Interest rates can only go higher, and valuations are stretched, right? Wrong. Interest rates … Continue reading
Fed Chair Yellen pointed out in her semiannual report to Congress that the U.S. economy has encountered a number of false dawns—when a hoped-for acceleration in growth has failed to materialize—during this recovery. That’s one reason—maybe the main reason—she is … Continue reading
Few events can freeze economic growth like extremely cold weather can—and did—at the beginning of the year. But with the warmer weather, growth returned—and our capital market strategists expect it to continue. Here are the key themes they’ve identified so … Continue reading